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Thai politics

Nation graphic of Yingluck’s Cabinet

2011 08 10 yingluck cabinet

Today’s Nation has a graphic of Prime Minister Yingluck’s Cabinet.

Here’s the original (larger) image and the accompanying story, which notes:

Prime Minister Yingluck Shina-watra’s Cabinet line-up, which got royal endorsement last night, has been described by political observers as acceptable.

It appears that the ruling Pheu Thai Party has tried to please critics while also avoiding political confrontation. No red-shirt leader figures in the Cabinet.

(Emphasis mine.)

(Via @Saksith.)

(Image: The Nation.)

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Thai politics

It’s official: Yingluck is prime minister

2011 08 09 yingluck

Just noting briefly, for the record, that it’s now official.

As the AP reports:

Yingluck Shinawatra, the sister of an ousted Thai leader, vowed Monday to work for national reconciliation as she formally became the country’s first female prime minister.
King Bhumibol Adulyadej certified her appointment as the country’s 28th prime minister with a royal command presented at a ceremony at her Pheu Thai party headquarters.

Read the whole thing.

There’s also a piece from the BBC, and a story in today’s Bangkok Post.

Up next: We’ll learn about her Cabinet.

As ever, stay tuned, Thailand-watchers.

(Image: Bangkok Post.)

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Thai politics

Pavin Chachavalpongpun on Yingluck’s challenges

Pavin Chachavalpongpun assesses, in today’s WSJ, some of the challenges facing Thai Prime Minister Elect Yingluck Shinawatra:

Public attention is now on Ms. Yingluck’s vision for the country: Whom will she appoint to the cabinet and what policies will she implement? She is expected to reveal her ministers shortly. She has remained tight-lipped over her choices and has fended off criticism that her brother, former premier Thaksin Shinawatra, is the real hand behind cabinet posts and policies.

Ms. Yingluck’s primary task is bringing back stability. So she has to appoint a cabinet and implement such policies that both reward key patrons in the winning coalition and build a credible profile for the new government–one that doesn’t lead the opposition to quickly cry foul.

Mr. Abhisit’s Democrats are wary of the possible return of Mr. Thaksin, who was ousted in a 2006 coup. Hence the cabinet will probably consist of a mix of influential politicians with ties to Mr. Thaksin, as well as eminent technocrats and those successful in the private sector who aren’t seen as close to him.

And the concluding graphs:

Many Thais expect Ms. Yingluck to display her leadership and courage in addressing the difficult issue of social injustice and double standards, to heal the rift in their society. But there’s a giant question mark about how she will shape her relationship with the military and the palace. The military earlier accused Mr. Thaksin of disrespecting the much-revered monarchy. Consequently, he was toppled.

If Ms. Yingluck comes across as a weak leader, she will be manipulated. If she becomes too popular, she could be eliminated like her brother. The trick will be to promote those persons, ideas and policies that attain maximum consensus and ensure all-round political and economic development in Thailand.

(All emphasis mine.)

(Via @HarveyBKK.)

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Thai politics

Political happenings in Thailand this week: Yingluck’s royal command and cabinet formation

The official MCOT news agency reports that Prime Minister Elect Yingluck Shinawatra is set to receive a “royal command” later today:

House Speaker Somsak Kiatsuranond was called on by the Office of His Majesty’s Principal Private Secretary to be granted an audience on His Majesty the King’s behalf in order to hand down a royal command appointing Yingluck Shinawatra as Thailand’s newest and first female prime minister.

The command will take place on Monday at 5.30 pm at Bangkok’s Siriraj Hospital, according to the Secretariat of the House of Representatives.

As for Yingluck’s cabinet, today’s Nation says that:

Prime Minister designate Yingluck Shinawatra is expected to submit her Cabinet line-up for royal endorsement tomorrow, Pheu Thai Party spokesman Prompong Nopparit said yesterday.

The government should be installed and ready to serve in time for the celebrations of Her Majesty’s birthday on August 12,” he said.

MCOT concurs:

The cabinet lineup is expected to be submitted for royal approval on Tuesday, while prime minister-to-be Yingluck Shinawatra will go ahead with tackling flooding as her administration’s first priority, said Pheu Thai spokesman Prompong Nopparit on Sunday.

(All emphasis mine.)

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Thai politics

NYT Yingluck profile

The New York Times has a profile of Thai Prime Minister Elect Yingluck Shinawatra that includes some interesting details.

From the lede:

The first woman in this country of 65 million to hold the top political job, Ms. Yingluck is enjoying a rare luxury in the often macho world of Thai politics, floating above the political snake pit and dismissing prickly questions with her winning smile.

Yet Ms. Yingluck, 44, who has never held political office before, is also one of the least experienced leaders to emerge in a major Asian country in decades. A politician’s rapid rise to power is often called meteoric. But space rocks travel too slowly to describe Ms. Yingluck’s apparition in Thai politics.

Her political career spans about 80 days.

And:

Supporters of Pheu Thai say they admire the corporate successes of the Shinawatra family and see Ms. Yingluck as in touch with markets and the business world at large. In a country that reveres beauty, voters also appeared to have been charmed by Ms. Yingluck’s good looks. (One writer in The Bangkok Post, who was analyzing Ms. Yingluck’s hairstyle, waxed poetic: “That side part perfectly grazes your ear like a young lamb gently skipping over a meadow,” the author wrote.)

And there’s this, on the Kentucky connection:

In the 1970s, Mr. Thaksin obtained a master’s degree in criminal justice at Eastern Kentucky University. A decade and a half later, Ms. Yingluck got a masters in public administration an hour’s drive away, at Kentucky State University, a historically black institution amid horse farms and rolling hills.

(Felicia Lewis, a spokeswoman for Kentucky State, said the university was preparing a letter of congratulations for what may be its most famous alumna. “It’s a big deal here,” Ms. Lewis said.)

(All emphasis mine.)

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Thai politics

Yingluck elected Thailand’s prime minister: quick news round-up

As I noted in the update to my previous post, presumed Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra is now Prime Minister Elect Yingluck Shinawatra.

The New York Times reports:

Thailand’s Parliament elected Yingluck Shinawatra the country’s first female prime minister on Friday, a month after her party won a landslide victory over a coalition backed by Thailand’s military and traditional political and business elites.

Ms. Yingluck, a political novice, received 296 votes in the 500-seat parliament, a reflection of her party’s comfortable majority.

Her position is almost official:

Ms. Yingluck’s selection must be approved by King Bhumibol Adulyadej before she can officially take office. Thai media have speculated that she will announce her Cabinet within days.

The AP also has some analysis and says:

Before Yingluck can officially assume the post, however, King Bhumibol Adulyadej must endorse her in a separate ceremony expected to take place as early as Friday evening.

The FT notes that endorsement could come as late as Monday:

Ms Yingluck, 44, will formally assume office once the king endorses the parliamentary vote confirming her as the country’s first female prime minister, something that is expected by Monday.

The Wall Street Journal‘s lede points to what could be challenges ahead:

Thailand’s parliament formally elected Yingluck Shinawatra as the country’s next prime minister, signaling the start of a new but potentially rocky era in the Southeast Asian nation’s long-running political sagas.

And later:

Analysts generally believe it will only be a matter of time—possibly only a few months—before more serious tensions emerge, most likely around the issue of when or if Mr. Thaksin can return.

(All emphasis mine.)

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Thai politics

Yingluck set to become Thailand’s first female prime minister today

2011 08 05 yingluck

Yingluck Shinawatra is set to become Thailand’s first female prime minister when parliament votes today following the July 3 election.

Suranand Vejjajiva has a Bangkok Post op-ed describing the challenges she faces:

First, Ms Yingluck will have to prove to the general public that without any extended assistance from her brother Thaksin, she can sit at the head of the cabinet and control the game on her own.

Second, Ms Yingluck must muster all her forces to be able to deflect the attacks on the parliament floor from the Democrat Party which, throughout history, has established itself at being best while in the opposition.

Third, the elite establishment remains deeply distrustful of Thaksin and Pheu Thai, but for now is willing to appear accommodating due to the large margin of Pheu Thai’s electoral votes and strong popularity.

Ms Yingluck will have to work out a delicate balance in regaining a basis of trust for reconciliation while keeping the more hostile elements at bay.

Fourth and most important is that Ms Yingluck must be able to control the various political factions within her own party, satisfying the needs but keeping ambitions and egos in check. A rift or apparent breakup could end up destabilising the party. In the past, Newin Chidchob’s defection destroyed Pheu Thai’s predecessor the People Power Party, and history could repeat itself with other factions. The numbers game in Parliament could always change if Pheu Thai’s present 265 seats are pushed down below the simple majority of 250 seats.

Reuters also ran some analysis earlier this week:

Running a real estate business in the middle of a building boom is one thing. Running a country that’s embroiled in a bloody political crisis may be a little more challenging, as Thailand’s Yingluck Shinawatra is about to discover.

The honeymoon is over for the 44-year-old political novice, about to become Thailand’s first female prime minister. Millions of poor supporters expect great things from her, while the country at large wants an end to a political crisis dating back to a coup that toppled her brother, Thaksin Shinawatra, in 2006.

It was thanks to Thaksin that Yingluck was catapulted from relative obscurity as president of SC Asset to stardom within days of her May 16 nomination to lead the campaign of the Puea Thai Party in the July 3 election.

But as she prepares to follow in Thaksin’s footsteps after a parliamentary vote on Friday, it is her brother’s perceived influence over the incoming government rather than her inexperience that could prove her downfall.

Stay tuned…

(All emphasis mine.)

(Image: Reuters.)

Update: 12:40 p.m.:

The Bangkok Post says it’s official. Almost:

Pheu Thai Party list MP Yingluck Shinawatra was elected Thailand’s 28th prime minister by a majority vote in the House of Representatives on Friday morning.

A total of 296 MPs voted in support of Ms Yingluck, the country’s first female prime minister, while three MPs voted against her, with 197 abstentions by the opposition, including the Democrat and Bhumjaithai parties.

Up next: endorsement from the king.

DPA says:

Thailand’s House of Representatives on Friday elected Yingluck Shinawatra to become the country’s first female prime minster, paving the way for a new government expected by next week.

Yingluck’s selection, by a 296 to 3 vote in the lower house, will become official as soon as it in endorsed by King Bhumibol Adulyadej, 83, who is head of state.

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Thai politics

Thai Parliament to open today

Bloomberg notes that Thailand’s Parliament is set to open today, with prime minister to-be Yingluck Shinawatra ready to take the helm.

Thailand’s Parliament will open today for the first time since Yingluck Shinawatra’s Pheu Thai party won a majority last month, paving the way for lawmakers to select her as the country’s first female prime minister.

The Election Commission has certified all but four of 500 winning candidates in the July 3 vote, discarding complaints aiming to thwart the sister of exiled former leader Thaksin Shinawatra from taking power. Court rulings and a coup have overturned three previous Thaksin election wins since 2005.

“They won a landslide so it will be easier to manage the country,” said Suwat Bumrungchartudom, an analyst at Bangkok- based Bualuang Securities Pcl. “The coalition is quite solid. The question now is whether they can follow through on their commitments before the election.”

The Bangkok Post says Crown Prince Maha Vajiralongkorn will preside over the proceedings:

Pheu Thai Party is to unveil its choice of the new house speaker today as the lower house convenes for its official opening this afternoon following the July 3 general election.

The formal house opening will be held at the Ananda Samakhom Throne Hall in a royal ceremony to be presided over by HRH Crown Prince Maha Vajiralongkorn on behalf of His Majesty the King.

(Emphasis mine.)

Update: 7:15 p.m. Bangkok time: The Bangkok Post says the Parliament is now open. The story includes some photos.

His Royal Highness Crown Prince Maha Vajiralongkorn on Monday presided over the opening of parliament, allowing the House of Representatives to convene its first meeting tomorrow.

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Thai politics

Thai Parliament: It’s all systems go

A follow up on my post yesterday about the Election Commission deadline: It’s all systems go, with Parliament set to open Monday.

The AP, via the WSJ, says:

Thailand’s Election Commission has certified enough winners of this month’s election for the new Parliament to convene Monday as scheduled.

Today’s Bangkok Post has more details:

The Election Commission yesterday cleared the way for the House of Representatives to convene after it endorsed a batch of 94 poll winners as MPs, while still refusing to lift its suspension of red-shirt core leader Jatuporn Prompan.

With the elections of 496 MPs affirmed, which exceeds the required number of 475, the House is on track to open for business within 30 days of the election as required by the constitution.

The first session is expected to be held on Monday.

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Thai politics

Thailand: EC deadline for certifying candidates is Aug. 1

Reuters reports today that:

Thailand’s election authority was racing on Wednesday to endorse dozens of winning candidates from the July 3 general election to pave the way for a new parliament to convene and select a prime minister, tentatively expected in early August.

So far, 402 of the 500 winners have been approved by the Election Commission (EC), which is struggling with a deluge of complaints that it must process in the next few days.

If all goes as expected, Yingluck Shinawatra, a sister of former premier Thaksin Shinawatra, will become Thailand’s first female prime minister after her Puea Thai Party won the election in a landslide.

By law, the EC needs to confirm 95 percent of the winners, or 475 of the 500 house seats, to give the lower house a quorum to hold a formal opening by Monday, August 1. The EC has indicated it could complete the process by Wednesday, July 27.

Stay tuned.